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Published on December 22, 2014 by Gary Grappo

Given His Past Failures, Can Obama Strike a Verifiable Nuke Deal With Iran?

Published first at Global Post on November 25, 2014

Congress and American public should be wary of the extension of the P5+1 talks with Iran. The administration is eager for an agreement it could tout as a signature foreign policy achievement. And for good reason. Its record on foreign policy is marked more by failure than success, especially on conflict-related issues. The lack of […]

Filed Under: Foreign Policy

Published on December 19, 2014 by Gary Grappo

The Case for US Intervention in the Middle East

Published first at Fair Observer on October 23, 2014

Can a superpower nation like the US afford to withdraw from world affairs? Is it even possible for America to simply make itself an equal among all nations? The answer to both is simply no, not even if the US wanted to do so and certainly not in today’s turmoil-ridden Middle East. The debate over […]

Filed Under: Foreign Policy

Published on December 19, 2014 by Gary Grappo

Steep Mountain of US-Iran Relations

Published first at The Daily Journalist on October 17, 2014

The negotiations between the five permanent members of the UN Security Council plus Germany, known as the P5+1, and Iran on the latter’s nuclear weapons program are currently scheduled to conclude in about six weeks. But even with the right deal on its nuclear weapons program, Iran would still be far from any rapprochement with […]

Filed Under: Foreign Policy

Published on December 19, 2014 by Gary Grappo

Obama’s Flawed Anti-ISIS Strategy

Published first at The Daily Journalist on October 6, 2014

In September, President Obama faced the obvious and announced a strategy for the US to enter the fray against the Islamic State (ISIS) with US air assets and to halt the ISIS advance in Iraq. But in this strategy, he is ignoring fundamental elements that will either doom the US and coalition’s effort or force […]

Filed Under: Foreign Policy

Published on December 19, 2014 by Gary Grappo

The Islamic State’s Challenge to the GCC

Published first at Gulf State Analytics on October 6, 2014

Even before the rise of the Islamic State, the Gulf Cooperation Council faced challenges, both internal and external. Unlike anything it had confronted in its 33-year history, those challenges – political, economic, security, social and environmental – erode the unity and effectiveness of the GCC. Now, a new and more ominous challenge confronts the GCC. […]

Filed Under: Foreign Policy

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Could Trump’s Shocking Plan for Gaza Lead Anywhere?

February 7, 2025 By Gary Grappo

Experts say the president’s plan for Gaza as stated, isn’t feasible – but it could spark regional actors to take more action. BOTTOM LINE UP FRONT – As President Donald Trump doubles down on his idea of a U.S. takeover of Gaza, Arab governments are also doubling down on their objections and questions persist as to […]

Memo to the 47th President: A New and Dangerous Middle East

December 27, 2024 By Gary Grappo

EDITOR’S NOTE — Since Donald Trump’s victory in the November 5 election, The Cipher Brief has reached out to our network of experts for thoughts on what the priorities ought to be for the second Trump administration. Our ask was straightforward: If you were given the opportunity of a short visit with the president during his first days in […]

Post-Assad Syria: ‘Now Comes the Hard Part’

December 27, 2024 By Gary Grappo

A Cipher Brief expert with deep experience in the Middle East sees both danger and an “extraordinary opportunity” in the wake of Assad’s fall. EXPERT INTERVIEW — The headlines would have seemed fanciful two weeks ago: “Rebel Army Ousts Assad” – “The Fall of Assad” – “Assad Flees to Russia” – or our own, from Sunday: “Syria’s Political […]

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